Fake News Sent BTC to a Monday Session High of ,128
On Monday, news hit the wires of the SEC approving the Blackrock BTC-spot ETF application. A crypto news portal posted news of the Blackrock BTC-spot ETF approval on X (formerly Twitter).
Blackrock (BLK) denied the report, confirming that the iShares Bitcoin ETP application was still under review.
The ramifications are significant. BTC longs experienced a breakout session and had a dress rehearsal for the likely market reaction to an SEC approval. However, the fake news led to the liquidation of millions of short positions.
More significantly, the SEC may consider the events on Monday when reviewing the spot ETF applications. The SEC could raise concerns over the influence of unverified news on the crypto market.
Over the weekend, Bloomberg Intelligence ETF Analyst James Seyffart put the probability of the SEC approving the Ark BTC-spot ETF application at 90%.
Binance Hits Pause on UK Plans After FCA Scrutiny
Binance announced it would stop accepting new UK customers. Last week, the UK Financial Conduct Authority intervened in a new partnership between Binance and rebuildingsociety.com.
Binance forged the new partnership to allow rebuildingsociety.com to handle its UK promotional materials and communications. The FCA intervention took place a matter of days after Binance announced the new partnership, highlighting the intense scrutiny amidst the ongoing SEC v Binance lawsuit.
The SEC filed thirteen charges against Binance CEO CZ, Binance US, and Binance in June 2023. Notably, the SEC filed charges against Coinbase (COIN) just days after.
Technical Analysis
Bitcoin Analysis
BTC held above the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, affirming bullish price signals. Significantly, the 50-day EMA pulled away from the 200-day EMA avoiding a bearish cross.
A BTC return to $28,500 would support a move toward the $29,193 resistance level. Investors will remain sensitive to BTC-spot ETF chatter throughout the day and news updates on the Middle East conflict.
However, a fall through the $28,187 support level would bring the $26,755 support level into view. Risk aversion stemming from the Middle East or an SEC response to the Monday events could test buyer appetite.
The 14-Daily RSI reading of 63.10 supports a BTC return to $29,000 before entering overbought territory.
Ethereum Analysis
ETH remained below the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, affirming bearish price signals.
An ETH break above the $1,626 resistance level and the 50-day EMA would support a move toward the 200-day EMA. ETH-spot ETF-related news and regulatory chatter will remain the focal points.
However, a fall below $1,550 would bring the $1,502 support level into play.
The 14-Daily RSI reading of 48.05 supports an ETH move to the $1,502 support level before entering oversold territory.
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